cyb50-quant/research/dragon/v2/openspec/changes/predictive-deepoversold-physical-isolation/acceptance-summary.md

Predictive + Deep Oversold Physical Isolation - Acceptance Summary

Date: 2026-04-09

1) Scope Executed

• Added predictive bridge module:
  • dragon_bridge_predictive_break.py
• Added deep-oversold modules:
  • dragon_deep_oversold_classifier.py
  • dragon_deep_oversold_confirmation.py
• Replaced inline predictive/deep-oversold predicates in dragon_strategy.py with module calls.

2) Regression And Guardrails

• Golden baseline regenerated successfully.
• RC1 summary remains:
  • trade_count = 91
  • event_count = 272
  • win_rate = 52.75%
  • avg_return = 3.42%
• Core hashes unchanged:
  • events: 8965d1b539a998d7d0aff04432aa2a47cf30ee40df013b9d8b7eb66a3d50a331
  • trades: 1298be56b0898266b0b854d62a979c00c20b01629393c82bb8c804faf852cb97
• Rule attribution mapping remains clean:
  • dragon_rule_layer_attribution.md reports no unknown reason mapping.

3) Tests

Added module-focused tests:

• tests/test_predictive_bridge_module.py
• tests/test_deep_oversold_modules.py

Validation run:

• py -3 -m unittest discover -s tests -v
• result: 14 tests passed (OK).

4) Pipeline Smoke

• py -3 dragon_daily_signal_pipeline.py --as-of 2026-04-08 completed successfully.

5) OpenSpec Task Status

• openspec/changes/predictive-deepoversold-physical-isolation/tasks.md now has all tasks marked complete.