# Dragon Short Holding Family Review

- Scope: `alpha_first_selective_veto` short trades only.
- Drag score definition: `trades * abs(min(avg_return, 0))`.

## Top Entry-Family Drag
- `00-05d / glued_buy`: trades `18`, loss_trades `18`, avg_return `-1.65%`, drag_score `0.2976`
- `06-10d / glued_buy`: trades `20`, loss_trades `13`, avg_return `-1.03%`, drag_score `0.2069`
- `00-05d / dual_gold_resonance_buy`: trades `3`, loss_trades `3`, avg_return `-2.40%`, drag_score `0.0720`
- `00-05d / deep_oversold_rebound_buy`: trades `2`, loss_trades `2`, avg_return `-1.49%`, drag_score `0.0297`
- `00-05d / post_washout_kdj_reentry_buy`: trades `1`, loss_trades `1`, avg_return `-2.86%`, drag_score `0.0286`
- `00-05d / post_sell_rebound_buy`: trades `1`, loss_trades `1`, avg_return `-2.16%`, drag_score `0.0216`
- `00-05d / early_crash_probe_buy`: trades `1`, loss_trades `1`, avg_return `-0.85%`, drag_score `0.0085`
- `06-10d / oversold_reversal_after_ql_buy`: trades `1`, loss_trades `1`, avg_return `-0.77%`, drag_score `0.0077`

## Top Buy-Reason Drag
- `00-05d / glued_buy`: trades `18`, loss_trades `18`, avg_return `-1.65%`, avg_buy_plus_3d `-1.53%`, drag_score `0.2976`
- `06-10d / glued_buy`: trades `20`, loss_trades `13`, avg_return `-1.03%`, avg_buy_plus_3d `0.88%`, drag_score `0.2069`
- `00-05d / dual_gold_resonance_buy`: trades `3`, loss_trades `3`, avg_return `-2.40%`, avg_buy_plus_3d `-1.82%`, drag_score `0.0720`
- `06-10d / deep_oversold_rebound_buy:mixed_oversold`: trades `1`, loss_trades `1`, avg_return `-3.03%`, avg_buy_plus_3d `-2.80%`, drag_score `0.0303`
- `00-05d / post_washout_kdj_reentry_buy`: trades `1`, loss_trades `1`, avg_return `-2.86%`, avg_buy_plus_3d `-2.25%`, drag_score `0.0286`
- `00-05d / post_sell_rebound_buy`: trades `1`, loss_trades `1`, avg_return `-2.16%`, avg_buy_plus_3d `-2.16%`, drag_score `0.0216`
- `00-05d / deep_oversold_rebound_buy:deep_capitulation`: trades `1`, loss_trades `1`, avg_return `-2.05%`, avg_buy_plus_3d `0.04%`, drag_score `0.0205`
- `00-05d / deep_oversold_rebound_buy:classic_oversold`: trades `1`, loss_trades `1`, avg_return `-0.92%`, avg_buy_plus_3d `-0.92%`, drag_score `0.0092`

## Top Path Drag
- `06-10d / glued_buy -> knife_take_profit_2_glued`: trades `17`, avg_return `-1.31%`, avg_sell_plus_3d `-0.83%`, drag_score `0.2235`
- `00-05d / glued_buy -> knife_take_profit_2_glued`: trades `12`, avg_return `-1.77%`, avg_sell_plus_3d `0.15%`, drag_score `0.2125`
- `00-05d / dual_gold_resonance_buy -> negative_a1_no_b1_recovery:kdj_sell`: trades `1`, avg_return `-3.28%`, avg_sell_plus_3d `-1.63%`, drag_score `0.0328`
- `06-10d / deep_oversold_rebound_buy -> negative_a1_no_b1_recovery:ql_sell`: trades `1`, avg_return `-3.03%`, avg_sell_plus_3d `4.28%`, drag_score `0.0303`
- `00-05d / glued_buy -> negative_a1_no_b1_recovery:ql_sell`: trades `1`, avg_return `-2.94%`, avg_sell_plus_3d `1.58%`, drag_score `0.0294`
- `00-05d / post_washout_kdj_reentry_buy -> knife_take_profit_2_wait_ql_s`: trades `1`, avg_return `-2.86%`, avg_sell_plus_3d `0.24%`, drag_score `0.0286`
- `06-10d / dual_gold_resonance_buy -> negative_a1_no_b1_recovery:kdj_sell`: trades `1`, avg_return `-2.72%`, avg_sell_plus_3d `0.58%`, drag_score `0.0272`
- `00-05d / glued_buy -> glued_exit:kdj_sell`: trades `3`, avg_return `-0.86%`, avg_sell_plus_3d `-1.16%`, drag_score `0.0257`

## Quant Judgment
- Lead short-holding drag family: `00-05d / glued_buy` with drag_score `0.2976`.
- Lead path-level drag: `06-10d / glued_buy -> knife_take_profit_2_glued`.
- The next experiment pack should attack the highest drag family first and decide whether the issue is bad entry selection or premature exit handling.