# Dragon Residual Trade Review

## Snapshot
- Residual real-trade rows reviewed: `2`
- DELETE_CANDIDATE: `0`
- KEEP_BRIDGE / KEEP_ALPHA: `2`
- OBSERVE / OBSERVE_BRIDGE: `0`

## Recommendation Summary
### KEEP_ALPHA
- `2023-10-26` `BUY` `early_crash_probe_buy` | trade `2023-10-26 -> 2023-11-10` | ret `7.67%` mfe `9.73%` mae `-2.20%` | 虽然是额外交易，但收益明显，可能代表工作簿未显式记录的顺势 alpha。
- `2023-11-10` `SELL` `knife_take_profit_2_wait_ql_s` | trade `2023-10-26 -> 2023-11-10` | ret `7.67%` mfe `9.73%` mae `-2.20%` | 虽然是额外交易，但收益明显，可能代表工作簿未显式记录的顺势 alpha。

## Detailed Cards

### 2023-10-26 BUY early_crash_probe_buy
- Regime: `deep_oversold`
- Trade: `2023-10-26 -> 2023-11-10` | buy `early_crash_probe_buy` | sell `knife_take_profit_2_wait_ql_s`
- Holding / Return: `15` days / `7.67%`
- MFE / MAE: `9.73%` / `-2.20%`
- Event indicators: `a1=-0.0426` `b1=-0.0288` `c1=7.23`
- Pre/Post 5d return: `-2.24%` / `3.92%`
- Chain type: `isolated_extra_trade` | entry aligned `False` | exit aligned `False`
- Delete impact: 该点与配对交易构成局部闭环，删除通常应连同 2023-10-26->2023-11-10 一并评估。
- Recommendation: `KEEP_ALPHA` | 虽然是额外交易，但收益明显，可能代表工作簿未显式记录的顺势 alpha。
- Workbook context: 2023-10-16 SELL(aux_signal)
- Strategy context: 2023-10-16 SELL(aux_signal) | 2023-10-26 BUY(real_trade)

### 2023-11-10 SELL knife_take_profit_2_wait_ql_s
- Regime: `rebound_mid`
- Trade: `2023-10-26 -> 2023-11-10` | buy `early_crash_probe_buy` | sell `knife_take_profit_2_wait_ql_s`
- Holding / Return: `15` days / `7.67%`
- MFE / MAE: `9.73%` / `-2.20%`
- Event indicators: `a1=0.0166` `b1=0.2958` `c1=45.09`
- Pre/Post 5d return: `1.98%` / `-1.34%`
- Chain type: `isolated_extra_trade` | entry aligned `False` | exit aligned `False`
- Delete impact: 该点与配对交易构成局部闭环，删除通常应连同 2023-10-26->2023-11-10 一并评估。
- Recommendation: `KEEP_ALPHA` | 虽然是额外交易，但收益明显，可能代表工作簿未显式记录的顺势 alpha。
- Workbook context: 2023-11-10 SELL(aux_signal):粘合-刀口收血2
- Strategy context: 2023-11-10 SELL(real_trade) | 2023-11-16 SELL(aux_signal)