""" 简化的Regime策略 - 基于趋势强度动态调整仓位 """ import backtrader as bt import pandas as pd import numpy as np class SimpleRegimeStrategy(bt.Strategy): """ 简化版状态感知策略 逻辑: - 计算20日趋势强度 - 趋势强且向上: 满仓 - 趋势弱或向下: 减仓/空仓 - 均线金叉入场,死叉出场 """ params = ( ('fast', 20), ('slow', 60), ('trend_threshold', 0.02), ('printlog', False), ) def __init__(self): self.dataclose = self.datas[0].close self.order = None # 均线 self.sma_fast = bt.indicators.SMA(period=self.p.fast) self.sma_slow = bt.indicators.SMA(period=self.p.slow) self.crossover = bt.indicators.CrossOver(self.sma_fast, self.sma_slow) # 趋势: 价格相对快均线的偏离 self.trend = (self.dataclose - self.sma_fast) / self.sma_fast def next(self): if self.order: return # 当前趋势 trend_val = self.trend[0] if not np.isnan(self.trend[0]) else 0 # 金叉 + 趋势向上 = 买入 if self.crossover > 0 and trend_val > -self.p.trend_threshold: if not self.position: size = int(self.broker.getcash() / self.dataclose[0] / 100) * 100 if size > 0: self.order = self.buy(size=size) if self.p.printlog: self.log(f'BUY @ {self.dataclose[0]:.2f}, Trend: {trend_val:.4f}') # 死叉 或 趋势转弱 = 卖出 elif self.crossover < 0 or (self.position and trend_val < -self.p.trend_threshold * 2): if self.position: self.order = self.close() if self.p.printlog: reason = 'Death Cross' if self.crossover < 0 else 'Weak Trend' self.log(f'SELL @ {self.dataclose[0]:.2f}, Reason: {reason}') def notify_order(self, order): if order.status in [order.Submitted, order.Accepted]: return if order.status in [order.Completed]: if order.isbuy(): self.log(f'BUY EXECUTED @ {order.executed.price:.2f}') else: self.log(f'SELL EXECUTED @ {order.executed.price:.2f}') self.order = None def log(self, txt, dt=None): if not self.p.printlog: return dt = dt or self.datas[0].datetime.date(0) print(f'{dt.isoformat()} {txt}') def stop(self): roi = (self.broker.getvalue() / self.broker.startingcash - 1) * 100 print(f'\n=== 最终收益: {roi:.2f}% ===') def run_simple_regime(csv_file="chinext50.csv", cash=100000.0): """运行简化Regime策略""" cerebro = bt.Cerebro() df = pd.read_csv(csv_file, parse_dates=['datetime'], index_col='datetime') data = bt.feeds.PandasData(dataname=df) cerebro.adddata(data) cerebro.addstrategy(SimpleRegimeStrategy, printlog=False) cerebro.broker.setcash(cash) cerebro.broker.setcommission(commission=0.001) cerebro.addanalyzer(bt.analyzers.SharpeRatio, _name='sharpe', riskfreerate=0.02) cerebro.addanalyzer(bt.analyzers.DrawDown, _name='drawdown') cerebro.addanalyzer(bt.analyzers.Returns, _name='returns') cerebro.addanalyzer(bt.analyzers.TradeAnalyzer, _name='trades') print('=== 简化Regime策略回测 ===') print(f'初始资金: {cerebro.broker.getvalue():.2f}') results = cerebro.run() strat = results[0] print(f'\n最终资金: {cerebro.broker.getvalue():.2f}') returns = strat.analyzers.returns.get_analysis() print(f"年化收益: {returns.get('rnorm100', 0):.2f}%") sharpe = strat.analyzers.sharpe.get_analysis() sharpe_val = sharpe.get('sharperatio', 0) print(f"夏普比率: {sharpe_val:.3f}" if sharpe_val else "夏普比率: N/A") drawdown = strat.analyzers.drawdown.get_analysis() print(f"最大回撤: {drawdown.get('max', {}).get('drawdown', 0):.2f}%") trades = strat.analyzers.trades.get_analysis() if trades.get('total'): total_trades = trades['total'].get('total', 0) won_trades = trades['won'].get('total', 0) if trades.get('won') else 0 print(f"总交易次数: {total_trades}") print(f"盈利次数: {won_trades}") if total_trades > 0: print(f"胜率: {won_trades/total_trades:.1%}") return cerebro, strat if __name__ == "__main__": run_simple_regime()